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Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

888 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Kalshi Raises $300M at $5B Valuation Under CFTC Oversight

Kalshi Raises $300M at $5B Valuation Under CFTC Oversight

Kalshi, a U.S.-licensed prediction market supervised by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has secured $300 million in fresh capital, bringing its valuation to $5 billion, The New York Times reported. The news highlights the rapid ascent of prediction markets from niche financial experiments to global investment-grade platforms attracting major institutional capital. Prediction Markets Enter the Spotlight Once a curiosity on the fringes of finance, prediction markets are now attracting millions of users wagering on everything from politics and sports to entertainment and global events. Kalshi, one of the most prominent names in the sector, said it plans to open its platform to customers in more than 140 countries, expanding far beyond its U.S. base. The company’s fundraising announcement comes the same week as Polymarket, its chief rival, revealed that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) — parent company of the New York Stock Exchange — intends to invest up to $2 billion in its platform. Explosive Growth and Investor Backing Kalshi is also on pace to record $50 billion in annualized trading volume, a sharp increase from about $300 million last year, according to data from Dune. The platform now commands more than 60% of global prediction-market activity, recently surpassing Polymarket. “We did not expect this level of growth,” said Tarek Mansour, Kalshi’s co-founder and CEO. The surge has attracted heavyweight venture capital investors, including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, CapitalG, and Coinbase Ventures. The new round, negotiated just two months after its previous one, more than doubled Kalshi’s valuation. Sports Bets and Retail Access Drive Expansion Kalshi’s entry into sports wagering — including complex bets known as parlays — has shaken up the traditional sports betting landscape. Shares of DraftKings and FanDuel’s parent company have both declined double digits amid concerns over competition. Additionally, Kalshi’s partnerships with Robinhood and Webull have allowed users to trade prediction contracts as seamlessly as they buy stocks, deepening mainstream adoption. Regulatory Questions Loom Despite CFTC approval, Kalshi faces pushback from U.S. state regulators who argue its sports-related contracts resemble unlicensed gambling. Lawsuits have been filed in several states where online sports betting remains illegal. Mansour remains confident, saying, “Every time there’s a new type of financial innovation, there’s always a series of questions around regulation. If there weren’t questions, what you’re doing is probably not meaningful or innovative enough.” As Kalshi’s global reach expands, its battle to balance innovation with compliance may define the future of the regulated prediction market industry

Author: CryptoNews

2025/10/10

Altcoins Poised to Rally with Polymarket’s Growth

Altcoins Poised to Rally with Polymarket’s Growth

The post Altcoins Poised to Rally with Polymarket’s Growth appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket has made headlines this week, with multiple developments surrounding the prediction platform. It is gaining legitimacy with ICE exploring a $9 billion deal and Wall Street taking notice. Against these backdrops, the network’s effect plays out across multiple chains and protocols that power its decentralized prediction markets. Sponsored Sponsored Altcoin Stacks Powering Polymarket’s Breakout Moment BeInCrypto recently reported that Polymarket could host the biggest airdrop in the industry. This, coupled with headlines about a prospective ICE investment, positions select altcoins to benefit from the platform’s growing valuation. 1. UMA: The Silent Backbone of Prediction Markets UMA is important to Polymarket, but no one is paying attention. While all eyes are on Polymarket’s explosive growth, UMA remains the quiet infrastructure layer that makes decentralized predictions possible. Polymarket uses UMA’s Optimistic Oracle (OO) to verify market outcomes transparently. This decentralized data verification mechanism allows proposers and disputers to determine the truth on-chain, without relying on any central authority. “Polymarket supports UMA as a resolution source for markets displayed on the Polymarket.com interface. Polymarket, at its core, is oracle agonistic, but the UMA integration provides another option for market creators,” the platform shared in a recent blog. Under the hood, UMA’s oracle ensures that every prediction, whether on elections, markets, or sports, can be settled securely and trustlessly. The UMA-CTF adapter deployed on Polygon connects Polymarket’s conditional token framework (CTF) to UMA’s oracle, making every market resolution verifiable. Despite this essential role, investors largely overlook UMA, focusing on Polymarket’s front-end success. If sentiment shifts toward recognizing the oracle’s importance, UMA could see significant upside as demand for on-chain data verification grows. Sponsored Sponsored UMA Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto 2. Polygon (MATIC): The Chain Powering Polymarket’s Scalability Polymarket runs entirely on Polygon’s Proof-of-Stake network, benefiting from its low-cost, high-speed infrastructure. The platform’s recent…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Nevada Judge Denies Crypto.com Injunction in Prediction Market Case; Legal Experts Say Ruling Could Be Overturned on Appeal

Nevada Judge Denies Crypto.com Injunction in Prediction Market Case; Legal Experts Say Ruling Could Be Overturned on Appeal

The post Nevada Judge Denies Crypto.com Injunction in Prediction Market Case; Legal Experts Say Ruling Could Be Overturned on Appeal appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Crypto.com Nevada ruling denies the exchange’s request for a preliminary injunction, with Judge Andrew Gordon finding its sports prediction contracts fall outside the CEA’s definition of “swaps.” Legal experts say the decision is likely to be reversed on appeal, keeping regulatory uncertainty for U.S. prediction markets. Immediate effect: Nevada judge denied Crypto.com’s injunction, allowing state regulation challenges to proceed. Appeal outlook: Legal counsel predict the ruling will likely be overturned on appeal based on swap-definition precedent. Market context: Weekly combined prediction-market volume approached $1.5 billion; industry forecasts project long-term growth to $95.5B by 2035. Crypto.com Nevada ruling: judge denies injunction, raising state-versus-federal oversight questions for prediction markets — read the legal and market implications now. What is the Crypto.com Nevada ruling? Crypto.com Nevada ruling refers to a federal court decision in Nevada where Judge Andrew Gordon denied Crypto.com’s request for a preliminary injunction blocking state action by the Nevada Gaming Control Board. The judge concluded the exchange’s sports prediction contracts do not qualify as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), allowing the state process to continue. How does…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

From Raid to Rich List – Polymarket Founder Shayne Caplan Becomes The Youngest Self-Made Billionaire

From Raid to Rich List – Polymarket Founder Shayne Caplan Becomes The Youngest Self-Made Billionaire

Shayne Coplan has been named the youngest self-made billionaire as Intercontinental Exchange’s $2B investment valued Polymarket at $9B. The FBI inquiry has been closed, and Coplan has said justice has prevailed, marking a new phase for the prediction-market founder.

Author: Coinstats

2025/10/10

Bitcoin Could Lag Stocks and Precious Metals After Slipping Below $121,400 as Gold Gains 53% YTD

Bitcoin Could Lag Stocks and Precious Metals After Slipping Below $121,400 as Gold Gains 53% YTD

The post Bitcoin Could Lag Stocks and Precious Metals After Slipping Below $121,400 as Gold Gains 53% YTD appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Bitcoin price slipped below $121,400 amid record highs in U.S. stocks and precious metals, with BTC down 0.9% in 24 hours but still up 29% year-to-date. Market observers point to stronger rallies in gold and equities as primary drivers of the recent BTC underperformance. Bitcoin under $121,400 after a short pullback, trading within 3.8% of its recent all-time high. Gold has surged ~53% YTD while Bitcoin is up ~29% YTD, widening the relative performance gap. Stocks (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) set new intraday and closing record highs, drawing investor attention away from crypto. Bitcoin price slips below $121,400 as stocks and gold reach record highs—COINOTAG reports concise analysis, expert quotes, and key takeaways. Read now today. What is causing Bitcoin to slip below $121,400? Bitcoin price has pulled back below $121,400 primarily because U.S. equities and precious metals posted fresh record highs, attracting capital and dampening crypto momentum. Short-term liquidity shifts and limited new macro cues from central bank commentary amplified BTC’s modest decline while keeping it near recent highs. How does Bitcoin compare to gold and stocks right…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Kalshi, Polymarket Test Future of Finance

Kalshi, Polymarket Test Future of Finance

The post Kalshi, Polymarket Test Future of Finance appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket are fast becoming the frontier where finance tests the limits of probability. Long branded as “legalized gambling,” they now draw institutional and retail capital as regulators rush to define their perimeter. Their ascent raises questions of legality and sustainability. These markets could mature into regulated risk-pricing tools — or remain trapped between speculation and finance. Sponsored Sponsored ICE Bets on Polymarket Latest UpdateIntercontinental Exchange (ICE), parent of the NYSE, is exploring a deal valuing Polymarket at $10 billion. Though unconfirmed, the talks would mark one of the first major crossovers between Wall Street and blockchain prediction markets. Kalshi, a CFTC-designated contract market, has raised $265 million to date, including a $185 million Series C led by Paradigm at a $2 billion valuation with Sequoia, Multicoin, and Bond Capital. Also, I’d like to share the prior two rounds which were never announced. Earlier this year, Founders Fund led a $150m round into Polymarket, valuing us at $1.2b. Also in this round was Ribbit, Valor, Point72 Ventures, SV Angel, 1789, 1confirmation, Blockchain Capital, Coinbase,… — Shayne Coplan 🦅 (@shayne_coplan) October 7, 2025 Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan revealed two rounds: $150 million led by Founders Fund ($1.2B valuation) and $55 million led by Blockchain Capital ($350M). Investors include Ribbit, Valor, Point72 Ventures, Coinbase Ventures, and angels like Naval Ravikant and Rick Rubin. Their participation bridges crypto and traditional capital. BackgroundAfter limited CFTC relief, Polymarket resumed US operations through its QCX exchange. It now offers binary contracts that turn sentiment into tradable odds. Behind the ScenesICE’s interest follows Polymarket’s expansion. It partnered with Stocktwits on earnings markets, and X (formerly Twitter) named it an official provider. xAI also teamed up with Kalshi, expanding reach beyond crypto natives. Sponsored Sponsored Regulators Clash Over Event Contracts Massachusetts regulators sued…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/09

The Biggest In Crypto History?

The Biggest In Crypto History?

The post The Biggest In Crypto History? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Anticipation is rising as Polymarket hints at a POLY token airdrop that could outshine previous records set by Pi Network and Uniswap. With over 1.35 million users and recent institutional investment at a $9 billion valuation, Polymarket’s potential airdrop is poised to make history in the crypto community. Sponsored Sponsored Is the Biggest Airdrop Yet Coming with Polymarket’s POLY Token? Speculation gained momentum after Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan tweeted about POLY. The crypto executive’s post spurred discussions about whether the token could join the ranks of the largest crypto assets. The post signalled major ambitions for the project, with users wondering if the token, on launch, could compete by market capitalization with other top crypto assets. “From what it looked like, he hinted that $POLY could become one of the biggest tokens by market cap,” said on-chain analyst Pranjal Bora. Amid POLY token launch thoughts, it would be nearly impossible to rule out the possibility of an airdrop, potentially rewarding early adopters. The data behind Polymarket’s active trader base further explains why this prospective airdrop stands out, drawing heavy interest when compared to previous industry breakthroughs. Polymarket’s 1.35 million active traders put it among the top crypto projects, while participation metrics reveal a highly engaged core. According to Didi, a DeFi researcher on X (Twitter), only 0.51% of wallets have net profits over $1,000, and top trading volumes of over $50,000 are limited to 1.74% of users. Sponsored Sponsored Infographic shows Polymarket’s active user base and wallet distribution. Source: Didi on X This intensifies talk that hundreds of thousands may qualify for a notable airdrop if allocations reward activity and volume. “Polymarket just hinted at their $POLY token today…They currently have over 1.35M traders…Polymarket could easily end up being the biggest airdrop ever. Position yourself accordingly,” the researcher shared in…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/09

MetaMask Will Add Polymarket Prediction Markets, Rolls Out Perp Trading With Hyperliquid

MetaMask Will Add Polymarket Prediction Markets, Rolls Out Perp Trading With Hyperliquid

The post MetaMask Will Add Polymarket Prediction Markets, Rolls Out Perp Trading With Hyperliquid appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. MetaMask, the popular crypto wallet developed by Consensys, is moving deeper into crypto trading and speculation, adding perpetual swaps trading and announcing plans to add Polymarket prediction markets to its platform. The firm said on Wednesday the Polymarket integration will come later this year as part of an exclusive partnership, allowing users in approved regions to access onchain prediction markets directly in its app. Users will be able to bet on real-world outcomes from elections to crypto price movements without giving up custody of their assets. Alongside the Polymarket plans, MetaMask also rolled out perpetual futures trading within its app on Wednesday. The new feature is underpinned by HYPE$42.11, a decentralized derivatives protocol, bringing one of crypto’s most active markets into the wallet itself. Perpetuals are contracts that allow users to trade on future price movements without expiration, and account for about 75% of all crypto volume. Hyperliquid is a major player in the fast-growing segment, processing $275 billion in trading volume last month, TokenTerminal data shows. MetaMask’s version includes a redesigned mobile app, zero swap fees and one-click funding across EVM-compatible chains, the press release said. MetaMask token coming MetaMask said it will also debut by the end of this month a points-based rewards program tied to user activity, leading up to its long-anticipated token launch. The program will span trading, referrals and use of the MetaMask card, with rewards including fee discounts and token allocations. In the first phase, the firm allocated $30 million in native token of Linea, the Ethereum layer-2 network also developed by Consensys. Those points, as well as future will eventually connect to the upcoming token now in the works. The latest plans follow MetaMask launching its bespoke MetaMask USD (MUSD) stablecoin with Stripe’s Bridge and M0. The token surpassed $100 million in supply…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/09

Polymarket Unveils Hidden Funding as ICE Deal Pushes Valuation to $9 Billion

Polymarket Unveils Hidden Funding as ICE Deal Pushes Valuation to $9 Billion

The post Polymarket Unveils Hidden Funding as ICE Deal Pushes Valuation to $9 Billion appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Fintech Polymarket’s explosive growth is proving to be one of crypto’s most remarkable success stories. Long before its multi-billion-dollar partnership with the New York Stock Exchange’s parent company, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the prediction-market platform had already secured a quiet fortune in funding. CEO Shayne Coplan recently disclosed two previously unknown investment rounds that together brought in $205 million over the past two years. The first, led by Blockchain Capital in 2024, raised $55 million at a $350 million valuation. A year later, Founders Fund spearheaded another $150 million raise that pushed Polymarket’s valuation above $1.2 billion. That second round drew a who’s-who of global investors, from Ribbit Capital and Valor to Point72 Ventures, Coinbase, and Dragonfly, with 1789 Capital and SV Angel also taking part. Including earlier rounds, Polymarket had amassed roughly $279 million before ICE came calling. The newly announced ICE investment – worth up to $2 billion – catapults the firm’s valuation to around $9 billion, instantly placing it among the most valuable players in decentralized finance. The two companies plan to collaborate on event-driven data distribution and explore tokenization projects that connect prediction markets with traditional finance. Founded in 2020, Polymarket lets users speculate on real-world outcomes – from political elections to macroeconomic events – and has become a leading venue for on-chain forecasting. Its volumes have surged alongside Wall Street’s growing interest in event-based trading, an area where ICE now appears eager to establish a foothold. What began as Coplan’s small-scale experiment in market intelligence has turned into a billion-dollar bridge between crypto speculation and institutional infrastructure. With ICE onboard, Polymarket isn’t just surviving regulatory hurdles – it’s redefining what prediction markets can become in the global economy. The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/09

Institutions Now Hold 10% Of Ethereum Supply As Retail Rotates Toward MAGACOIN FINANCE

Institutions Now Hold 10% Of Ethereum Supply As Retail Rotates Toward MAGACOIN FINANCE

The post Institutions Now Hold 10% Of Ethereum Supply As Retail Rotates Toward MAGACOIN FINANCE appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto News Institutional accumulation of Ethereum continues, with retail investors exploring MAGACOIN FINANCE as a new altcoin opportunity amid changing market flows. Ethereum is quietly entering one of its most transformative phases yet. Fresh data from CryptoQuant and CoinShares reveals that institutional entities now control roughly 10% of the total Ethereum supply, a milestone that underscores how deeply traditional finance has embedded itself within the world’s largest smart contract network. Analysts interpret this as a sign that Ethereum’s reputation among institutions has matured from speculative exposure to long-term infrastructure investment. But while large players accumulate, retail behavior is shifting in a different direction, toward more agile, community-driven projects like MAGACOIN FINANCE, which capture the social excitement that major coins often leave behind. Institutional conviction builds around Ethereum Institutional adoption of Ethereum has been years in the making. After the successful transition to proof-of-stake, corporate and fund participation in ETH-based products accelerated. CoinShares’ weekly flow data shows that Ether-focused funds have seen consistent inflows for five consecutive sessions, confirming renewed interest from professional investors. Analysts attribute the momentum to Ethereum’s dominant share of decentralized finance, NFT infrastructure, and Layer 2 ecosystems that continue to expand even in consolidation phases. For hedge funds, Ethereum now functions as both a yield-bearing digital bond and a technological platform for tokenized assets. This dual identity reinforces its strategic role within diversified portfolios. The 10% institutional threshold carries symbolic weight. It represents a turning point where traditional finance officially becomes a cornerstone stakeholder in the second-largest blockchain network. As this influence grows, Ethereum’s volatility profile continues to compress, signaling maturation similar to Bitcoin’s evolution in previous cycles. Yet the flip side of that maturity is a reduction in speculative thrill, a vacuum retail traders often fill by seeking new opportunities at earlier stages of growth. Retail…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/09

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