Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

911 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Prediction Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair, Signaling Softer Inflation Outlook

Prediction Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair, Signaling Softer Inflation Outlook

The post Prediction Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair, Signaling Softer Inflation Outlook appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kevin Hassett’s rising odds as Federal Reserve Chair candidate are boosting market expectations for lower inflation and potential rate cuts, with prediction markets showing 73% probability. This shift is influencing Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, signaling broader economic impacts including on cryptocurrency valuations. Prediction markets favor Hassett at 73% odds, up from 30% last month, per platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Trump’s potential selection aligns with market bets on softer inflation and easier monetary policy. Treasury yields rose 14 basis points, reflecting investor concerns over rapid rate cuts reigniting inflation; experts like Michael Brown at Pepperstone note this as a loyalty-driven signal to Trump’s agenda. Kevin Hassett emerges as top Fed Chair contender amid prediction market surge and market reactions. Explore implications for inflation, crypto markets, and U.S. economy—stay informed on policy shifts. What Are the Odds of Kevin Hassett Becoming the Next Federal Reserve Chair? Kevin Hassett, current director of the National Economic Council, has surged to the forefront as a leading candidate for Federal Reserve Chair, with prediction markets placing his odds at 73% as of late December 2025. This rapid rise, from just 30% at the end of November on platforms like Polymarket, reflects growing investor confidence in his alignment with President Trump’s economic vision, particularly on aggressive rate cuts. While no official announcement has been made, market behaviors indicate traders are pricing in a shift toward looser monetary policy that could ease borrowing costs and stimulate growth. How Is Kevin Hassett’s Candidacy Impacting Bond Markets and Inflation Expectations? Kevin Hassett’s ascent has triggered notable movements in financial markets, particularly in Treasuries and currencies, as investors weigh the prospects of a Fed led by someone advocating for substantial interest rate reductions. Since reports from Bloomberg highlighted him as the frontrunner on December 17, 2025, the 10-year…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction markets bet on inflation trending lower with Hassett as Fed chair

Prediction markets bet on inflation trending lower with Hassett as Fed chair

The post Prediction markets bet on inflation trending lower with Hassett as Fed chair appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets are leaning toward Kevin Hassett taking over the Federal Reserve, and traders are tying that call directly to expectations of lower inflation, according to comments shared online by Jason Miller, who served as a senior advisor on Donald Trump’s transition team. Jason pointed out that Trump has not announced a decision yet but argued that if Trump selects Kevin, it would align with the way markets are already behaving. As you can see below, Jason shared alongside his post a Kalshi chart showing Kevin’s rising odds paired with softer future inflation pricing, fueled by the platform’s gamblers. Source: Jason Miller/X Kevin, who directs the National Economic Council, climbed fast to the front of the race in the past week. The odds on Polymarket moved from about 30% at the end of November to 73% by Friday, putting him well ahead of any other rumored candidate. Cryptopolitan had reported that Trump said during a White House event on Wednesday:- “I guess a potential Fed Chair is here too, I don’t know, are we allowed to say that? Potential. He’s a respected person, that I can tell you. Thank you, Kevin.” Bond traders respond as Hassett leads Naturally, Treasury markets reacted as Kevin’s chances went up. Since Bloomberg reported last Tuesday that he was the top contender, the 10-year yield has surged by 14 basis points as of press time, showing investors adjusting to the idea of a Fed chair who has publicly pushed for sharp rate cuts in the past. The jump in yields came even though Kevin is known for arguing for lower borrowing costs, meaning the trading floor sees the possibility of inflation returning if cuts come too fast. That view showed up in comments from Michael Brown, who serves as senior research strategist at Pepperstone. Michael…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Market Odds: House Democrat, Senate GOP Ahead of 2026 Elections

Prediction Market Odds: House Democrat, Senate GOP Ahead of 2026 Elections

The post Prediction Market Odds: House Democrat, Senate GOP Ahead of 2026 Elections appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. According to the latest figures, President Donald Trump has logged 320 days of his second term, and his approval rating has slipped from the brief highs that followed his Jan. 20 inauguration. Meanwhile, prediction markets indicate Democrats are currently positioned to snag a few congressional slots, giving them a legitimate opening to reclaim a House […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-odds-house-democrat-senate-gop-ahead-of-2026-elections/

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CNBC Signs Partnership with Prediction Market Kalshi

CNBC Signs Partnership with Prediction Market Kalshi

The post CNBC Signs Partnership with Prediction Market Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. CNBC has entered a multi-year partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to incorporate real-time forecasting data across its TV, digital and subscription platforms. According to Thursday’s announcement, Kalshi’s event probability data will be integrated into CNBC programming beginning in 2026, including on shows such as “Squawk Box” and “Fast Money,” with a dedicated ticker displaying forecast moves in real-time. Kalshi will also launch a CNBC-branded page on its platform featuring markets selected by the network. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the integration was the “next evolution” of financial reporting, “moving from data about what’s happening now, to real-time forecasts about what’s happening next.” CNBC president KC Sullivan added that prediction markets are becoming important tools for understanding major events, calling Kalshi’s data a “powerful complement” to the network’s reporting. Real-world events on Kalshi. Source: Kalshi The agreement comes days after Kalshi announced a separate data integration partnership with CNN, where its prediction markets will be incorporated into on-air analysis and newsroom reporting.  Kalshi, founded in 2018, operates one of the largest regulated prediction market platforms in the United States, allowing users to trade on outcomes tied to elections, sports, economic releases and other real-world events. The company’s $1 billion raise in November at an $11 billion valuation made both of its 29-year-old co-founders billionaires, with CEO Luana Lopes Lara becoming the world’s youngest self-made woman billionaire, according to Forbes. Related: Connecticut orders Robinhood, Crypto.com, Kalshi to stop prediction markets Polymarket prediction market is also on the rise Kalshi is a US-regulated prediction market, but it’s not the only platform gaining traction. Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction platform built on Polygon, has also been expanding its reach through a series of recent partnerships and regulatory approvals. In October, sports betting operator DraftKings began using Polymarket as the clearinghouse for its new prediction…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi’s New Media Collaboration: A Deep Dive into Prediction Markets

Kalshi’s New Media Collaboration: A Deep Dive into Prediction Markets

The post Kalshi’s New Media Collaboration: A Deep Dive into Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi has unveiled a groundbreaking partnership with CNBC to advance the reach and understanding of prediction markets among a broader audience. This collaboration brings prediction market data into the mainstream, offering CNBC’s viewers a unique glimpse into potential future events. Continue Reading:Kalshi’s New Media Collaboration: A Deep Dive into Prediction Markets Source: https://en.bitcoinhaber.net/kalshis-new-media-collaboration-a-deep-dive-into-prediction-markets

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CNBC Partners With Kalshi to Integrate Prediction Market Data

CNBC Partners With Kalshi to Integrate Prediction Market Data

The post CNBC Partners With Kalshi to Integrate Prediction Market Data appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. CNBC and Kalshi forge multi-year partnership to incorporate real-time prediction insights into financial news coverage. CNBC announced on December 4, 2025, a comprehensive partnership with Kalshi to integrate prediction market data across its television, digital, and subscription platforms. The collaboration, set to launch in 2026, will introduce a Kalshi ticker to on-air programming, including popular […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/cnbc-partners-with-kalshi-to-integrate-prediction-market-data/

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CNBC Partners With Kalshi to Bring Prediction Data to Viewers

CNBC Partners With Kalshi to Bring Prediction Data to Viewers

The post CNBC Partners With Kalshi to Bring Prediction Data to Viewers appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The integration will begin in 2026. On-air forecast tickers and a CNBC-branded page will also be included on Kalshi’s platform. The deal comes as Kalshi recently expanded its media presence through a similar arrangement with CNN and builds on its growth after an $11 billion valuation. Meanwhile, Polymarket is strengthening its position in the sector through partnerships with DraftKings, PrizePicks and UFC parent TKO Group as it prepares a CFTC-approved token launch. At the same time, YZi Labs, which was founded by Binance’s CZ, is increasing its exposure to prediction markets with new platforms like Predict.fun and the fast-growing Opinion. CNBC Adds Kalshi Forecasts CNBC took a big step into the prediction market space through a new multi-year partnership with Kalshi. Beginning in 2026, CNBC will incorporate Kalshi’s event-probability data across its television programming, digital products, and subscriber platforms. Shows like “Squawk Box” and “Fast Money” will feature a dedicated on-screen ticker displaying real-time forecast movements, while Kalshi will host a CNBC-branded page on its platform showcasing markets curated by the network. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour described the collaboration as a shift toward the “next evolution” of financial reporting, and argued that prediction markets offer an entirely new layer of insight by quantifying expectations about what may happen next rather than simply reporting current conditions.  Announcement from CNBC CNBC president KC Sullivan called prediction markets an increasingly important analytical tool and believes that Kalshi’s forecast data is a powerful extension of traditional financial journalism. The partnership builds on Kalshi’s growing presence across major media outlets, coming just days after the company announced a similar integration deal with CNN for both on-air analysis and newsroom reporting. Kalshi was launched in 2018, and quickly became one of the largest regulated prediction market operators in the United States, offering tradable markets on elections,…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
YZi-Backed Opinion Breaks Prediction Markets Records

YZi-Backed Opinion Breaks Prediction Markets Records

The post YZi-Backed Opinion Breaks Prediction Markets Records appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. YZi Labs, the venture capital company founded by Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, is ramping up its bet on prediction markets as one of its portfolio platforms posted an unusual spike in trading volume. CZ took to X on Wednesday to welcome YZi-backed Predict.fun as a new prediction market launching on the BNB Chain. “When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield,” CZ wrote, adding: “This tweet is not endorsement.” CZ’s post came a few weeks after Opinion, another prediction market backed by YZi, briefly outpaced trading volumes by major market players like Kalshi and Polymarket. What is Opinion and why is it booming? Opinion is a decentralized prediction market platform by Opinion Labs, a Hong Kong-based company founded in 2023 by Forrest Liu, according to data from Tracxn.com. Announcing its first O.LAB Prediction Closed Beta Tradathon in 2024, Opinion Labs mentioned it was backed by YZi Labs, which at the time was still known as Binance Labs. In March 2025, Opinion Labs secured $5 million in seed funding led by YZi and participated in by other investors such as Echo, Animoca Ventures, Manifold Trading and Amber Group. Source: Opinion The platform launched exclusively on BNB Chain in October, with CZ subsequently confirming that YZi holds a minority stake in the platform. “We are just a minority investor, but we try to help with adding strategic value,” CZ reportedly said in a now-deleted post on X. Opinion’s reported volume breaks records weeks after launch Opinion was a lesser-known prediction market until recently, when it surged past established players such as Kalshi and Polymarket in trading activity. Just four weeks after launch, Opinion’s weekly volume jumped to nearly $1.5 billion, compared with $1.2 billion on Kalshi and about $1 billion on Polymarket, according to data compiled…

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MetaMask Integrates Polymarket as Crypto Prediction Market Grow

MetaMask Integrates Polymarket as Crypto Prediction Market Grow

The post MetaMask Integrates Polymarket as Crypto Prediction Market Grow appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The popularity of crypto prediction markets are on the rise after Polymarket became integrated into the MetaMask mobile wallet. This now enables MetaMask users to predict real-world events without having to connect to multiple platforms. This move makes MetaMask the first self-custodial wallet to access these markets. It indicates a significant change in the way the customers utilize on-chain forecasting platforms. Can MetaMask Improve Mobile Prediction Trading? According a company blog post, the integration is now live on the latest version of MetaMask Mobile. Users can open the app, choose a market, fund their balance in seconds, and place predictions across politics, sports, crypto, culture, and global events. Every trade reflects a money-backed belief, which MetaMask says creates a clearer signal of public sentiment. The company adds that these markets often react faster than polls because users commit real value behind their views. MetaMask says the feature arrives as prediction markets gain momentum across nearly every category people follow. Polymarket’s recent CFTC clearance for a U.S. market launch has also fueled new interest in regulated prediction platforms. Mike Lwin, Senior Director of Product at MetaMask, says using prediction markets on mobile has been inconvenient. He notes that switching dApps during a commute or during a live event slows users at the moments they care most. Is Prediction Trading Now Fully Mobile? Lwin says the integration removes any inconvenience by placing everything inside the MetaMask environment. The MetaMask executive adds that prediction markets now shift from a desktop activity to something people can use in real time. Users can trade during a game, during a debate, or during breaking crypto news. Polymarket’s ecosystem is expanding as well, with founder Shayne Coplan recently hinting at a potential POLY token launch. In a statement shared with Coingape, Lwin said the trading experience becomes…

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Kalshi Extends US Media Push with CNBC Deal After CNN Tie-Up

Kalshi Extends US Media Push with CNBC Deal After CNN Tie-Up

The post Kalshi Extends US Media Push with CNBC Deal After CNN Tie-Up appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes The partnership will display Kalshi’s probability data through dedicated tickers during business programming and digital content. CNBC joins CNN in adopting prediction market integration as Kalshi reports billion-dollar weekly volumes and rapid growth. The deal intensifies competition with Polymarket, which has secured partnerships with Google Finance and Yahoo Finance. The news network CNBC has signed a multi-year exclusive partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi to integrate event-based probabilities across its TV, digital, and subscription products from 2026. The deal marks another step in Kalshi’s push into mainstream US business media following a similar agreement with CNN announced on Dec. 3. CNBC to Feature Kalshi’s Real-Time Prediction Data Across All Platforms Under the agreement, CNBC will feature Kalshi’s real-time prediction data across its business news programming and digital properties, including a dedicated Kalshi-branded ticker during selected shows. Kalshi will also host a CNBC-branded page on its platform, highlighting markets chosen by CNBC editors that track major macroeconomic, political, and financial events, according to their announcement. The new era of media has begun. CNBC is the world’s leading destination for financial news and the world of finance depends on real-world events. Kalshi accurately predicts these events. The news is evolving: from covering the present to forecasting the future. https://t.co/9kV6hzUPdY — Tarek Mansour (@mansourtarek_) December 4, 2025 “Prediction markets are rapidly shaping how investors and business leaders think about important events, […] Kalshi’s data will serve as a powerful complement to CNBC’s reporting and help people stay better informed about the world around them,” said KC Sullivan, President of CNBC. CNBC Ranks Among Top 20 Global Business News Websites CNBC ranks among the top 20 most visited business news websites in the world, with more than 117 million monthly visits according to Press Gazette’s global traffic rankings. The network is one…

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