TON is currently at the $1.53 level, balancing above the critical $1.5038 support; under short-term downtrend pressure but giving an RSI oversold signal.
Current Price Position and Critical Levels
TON is trading at $1.53 as of January 27, 2026, and has been stuck in the $1.50-$1.53 range with a %0.39 decline over the last 24 hours. The overall trend continues as a downtrend, with price positioned below EMA20 ($1.61) while the Supertrend indicator also gives a bearish signal pointing to $1.74 resistance. RSI at 38.45 is approaching the oversold zone, which could create short-term reaction buying potential. In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, a total of 8 strong levels were identified across 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 2 supports/2 resistances on 1D, 2 supports/1 resistance on 3D, 3 supports/1 resistance confluences on 1W. These levels are reinforced by order blocks, liquidity pools, and historical tests. Price is currently testing the $1.5038 support zone; if broken, it could accelerate toward $1.4200, if it holds, it could challenge the $1.5265 resistance. Volume is low at $34.95M, signaling quiet before volatility.
Support Levels: Buyer Pools
Primary Support
$1.5038 (Score: 70/100) – This level stands out as TON’s most critical primary support zone. Why? On the 1D chart, the order block of the last downward wave formed here; price has tested and rejected this zone multiple times ($1.50-$1.51 range) with high-volume buyer entries observed. On the 3D timeframe, there’s perfect confluence with EMA50 (around $1.5050), and on the weekly chart, it aligns with the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level. Historically, similar supports have seen 20-30% reaction rallies (e.g., December 2025 rally). According to volume profile analysis, strong bid liquidity has accumulated in this zone; a breakout would require extra selling pressure. Current price at $1.53 is very close; if it holds, it’s an ideal entry point for longs.
Secondary Support and Stop Levels
$1.4200 (Score: 68/100) – As secondary support, $1.4200 is a strong liquidity pool stemming from the main supply/demand imbalance on the 1W chart. This level has been tested 3 times since the November 2025 lows and rejected each time with volume spikes. On 1D, there’s VWAP and EMA200 ($1.42) confluence, and on 3D, it aligns with pivot low. In case of breakout, invalidation is a close below $1.4200 (e.g., $1.41); this confirms bearish continuation and leads to a $1.0300 downside target. For stop-losses, $1.49 below $1.5038 is sensible, achieving a 1:3 R/R ratio. Deeper supports lurk in 1W order blocks around $1.30.
Resistance Levels: Seller Pools
Near-Term Resistances
$1.5265 (Score: 77/100) – The nearest resistance at $1.5265 is the strongest short-term selling zone. On the 1D chart, it’s the breaker block of the last pump; price was rejected here while pushing $1.53, with high sell volume. First obstacle before approaching EMA20 ($1.61), confirmed by equal highs on 3D. Historical rejections (early January tests) resulted in 5-8% pullbacks. Clean breakout and retest required for breakout; otherwise, fakeout risk is high. Combined with Supertrend at $1.74, this is ideal for liquidity sweeps.
Main Resistance and Targets
$2.0022 (Score: 67/100) – Main resistance at $2.0022 is the medium-term target and a psychological barrier in the big picture. On the 1W chart, it’s the main resistance cluster; confluence with unfilled gap from October 2025 peak and Fibonacci 1.618 extension. High node on 3D volume profile, reinforced by trendline resistance on 1D. In the upside scenario, reaching here requires a $1.74 Supertrend breakout; historical breakouts saw 30%+ moves. Post-target extension to $2.20s, but challenging in the current downtrend. Invalidation above is EMA20 breakout at $1.61.
Liquidity Map and Big Players
In TON’s liquidity map, there’s high potential for stop-loss hunting below $1.5038; this is where retail longs cluster. Big players (whales) may be accumulating positions in the $1.4200 demand zone – on-chain data shows accumulation signals. Above, sell-side liquidity in the $1.5265-$1.61 range, with futures funding rates confirming negative pressure. From a 1W perspective, above $2.00 creates a major imbalance. Price grabbed liquidity at the $1.50 low, now it could target $1.5265 highs. With low volume, spikes during level tests will be decisive; big players are likely waiting until $1.42 for downtrend continuation.
Bitcoin Correlation
TON is highly correlated with BTC (%0.85+); BTC is in a downtrend at $89,159 and testing its own supports at $88,323-$86,562. If BTC fails to break $91,061 resistance, pressure increases on altcoins – TON could lose $1.5038. BTC Supertrend is bearish, dominance rising; a BTC break to $84,681 would push TON to $1.30s. Conversely, a BTC rally to $92,961 would carry TON upside to $2.00. Key BTC levels: Support $88k, Resistance $91k – TON traders should watch this. Details for TON Spot Analysis and TON Futures Analysis.
Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy
Level-based outlook: If $1.5038 holds, short-term bounce to $1.5265 (target R/R 1:2), stop $1.49. On breakout, short to $1.42 (target $1.03, stop $1.52). Upside scenario after $1.61 EMA breakout to $2.00. Risk management critical: Position with 1-2% risk, wait for MTF confirmation. No news flow, stay technical-focused. This analysis is not investment advice; markets are volatile.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/ton-support-and-resistance-levels-critical-points-for-january-27-2026
