U.S. Job Data and Fed Policy Affect Crypto Markets

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ December 2025 report shows nonfarm payrolls increasing by 50,000, below expectations, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.4%.

Weak job growth could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions, potentially affecting interest rates and impacting macroeconomic and crypto markets.

December Job Growth Slows, Fed Policy Under Scrutiny

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics’ recent report revealed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 50,000 in December 2025, lower than predictions. The unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, indicating a challenging employment scenario. This report impacts economic indicators, showing signs of a weakening economy.

The Federal Reserve, having set the target rate range between 3.5% and 3.75%, remains cautious. Jerome Powell suggested that the job market might not be as robust as payroll data indicates. The weak employment figures could influence the Federal Reserve officials to reconsider their rate adjustment strategy.

Crypto Markets React as Bitcoin Shows Gains

Did you know? In past economic downturns, policy shifts by central banks often stimulate markets, leading to increased cryptocurrency valuations, as seen during 2009–2012 and post-2020.

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced at $91,225.58, with a market cap of 1822108574491 USD. In the past 24 hours, the price slightly decreased by 0.04%, yet increased by 1.11% over the last week. Trading volume today totals $39,392,985,391, reflecting a 10.22% decrease.

The Coincu research team anticipates sustained market volatility tied to Fed policy decisions. Crypto assets could see varied impacts, as regulatory and macroeconomic factors continue to evolve rapidly.