Lawrence Jengar
Jan 10, 2026 17:28
TON shows mixed signals as analysts eye $2.40 targets while technical indicators suggest consolidation around $1.76 support levels. TON Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week) :…
TON shows mixed signals as analysts eye $2.40 targets while technical indicators suggest consolidation around $1.76 support levels.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $2.39-$2.40
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.68-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.83
• Critical support: $1.68
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
While specific analyst predictions are limited in the past 24 hours, recent forecasts from CoinCodex provide concrete targets for Toncoin’s near-term trajectory. According to their January 7th analysis, “Toncoin is expected to reach a price of $2.40 by Jan 12, 2026,” representing a potential 36% upside from current levels.
This Toncoin forecast aligns with their earlier January 4th prediction that targeted $2.39 by January 9th, suggesting consistent bullish sentiment among technical analysts. These predictions are based on technical analysis and observed market trends during the first week of January 2026.
According to on-chain data patterns, TON has maintained relatively stable trading volumes with $6.73 million in 24-hour Binance spot volume, indicating sustained institutional interest despite recent price consolidation.
TON Technical Analysis Breakdown
Toncoin’s current technical setup presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic picture. Trading at $1.76, TON sits precisely at its pivot point, suggesting a critical decision zone for the cryptocurrency.
The RSI reading of 55.19 places Toncoin in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold, which typically indicates room for movement in either direction. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 signals bearish momentum, suggesting short-term downward pressure may persist.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals TON trading at 0.62 position between the bands, closer to the upper band ($1.99) than the lower band ($1.40). This positioning, combined with the middle band at $1.69, suggests Toncoin has room to test higher resistance levels.
The moving average structure shows mixed signals: while TON trades above its 20-day SMA ($1.69) and 50-day SMA ($1.62), it remains significantly below the 200-day SMA at $2.51, indicating the longer-term trend needs confirmation.
Key resistance levels emerge at $1.80 (immediate) and $1.83 (strong), while support sits at $1.72 (immediate) and $1.68 (strong). The daily ATR of $0.10 suggests moderate volatility, providing opportunities for both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In the optimistic case, TON price prediction models suggest a breakout above $1.83 resistance could trigger a rally toward the $2.39-$2.40 targets identified by analysts. This scenario requires sustained buying pressure and a decisive break above the immediate resistance at $1.80.
Technical confirmation would come from RSI moving above 60, MACD histogram turning positive, and volume expansion above current levels. A successful retest of $1.83 as support would strengthen the bullish thesis and open the path to test the upper Bollinger Band near $1.99.
The ultimate target remains the 200-day moving average at $2.51, which would represent a 43% gain from current levels and validate the longer-term bullish structure.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for this Toncoin forecast centers on a break below the strong support at $1.68. This level aligns closely with the 20-day moving average and represents a critical technical floor.
A breakdown below $1.68 could trigger selling pressure toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.40, representing a 20% decline from current levels. The bearish scenario would gain momentum if RSI falls below 45 and MACD histogram turns more negative.
Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, reduced trading volume, and failure to reclaim the $1.80 resistance level within the next few trading sessions.
Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy
For investors considering TON, the current price around $1.76 offers a reasonable risk-reward setup, though timing remains crucial. Conservative buyers should wait for a successful test and hold of $1.72 support before entering positions.
Aggressive traders might consider accumulating on any dip toward $1.68, using this strong support level as a natural stop-loss point. This approach offers a favorable 2:1 risk-reward ratio targeting the $2.39 analyst price targets.
Position sizing should account for the moderate volatility indicated by the $0.10 daily ATR. A stop-loss below $1.65 (approximately 6% from current levels) would help manage downside risk while allowing room for normal price fluctuations.
Consider scaling into positions rather than committing full capital immediately, given the mixed technical signals and neutral RSI reading.
Conclusion
This TON price prediction suggests cautious optimism for the cryptocurrency in the near term, with analyst targets of $2.39-$2.40 by mid-January representing achievable goals. However, technical indicators present mixed signals that warrant careful position management.
The key catalyst will be TON’s ability to break and hold above $1.83 resistance, which could unlock the bullish scenario toward analyst targets. Conversely, a breakdown below $1.68 support would shift the outlook negative and require strategy reassessment.
With moderate confidence, Toncoin appears positioned for a 25-30% upside move toward $2.40 over the next 1-2 weeks, provided broader market conditions remain supportive and technical resistance levels are overcome.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260110-ton-price-prediction-targets-240-range-by-january-12th
